The Statistical Game

When the analytical nerds get going, it’s best to smile and step out of the way.
According to them, the best soccer team in the world has only a 28 percent chance of winning the World Cup even if it makes it through to the knockout stages.
So how do they explain the fact that Brazil has won five World Cups? Or four for Italy? Luck?

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One comment on “The Statistical Game
  1. Given that Brazil have won 5 times in 18 appearances (27.7% chance) and Italy have won 4 times in 16 appearances (25% chance) and you assume that they have been consistently among the top teams in that time, that seems fair enough.

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