When the analytical nerds get going, it's best to smile and step out of the way.
According to them, the best soccer team in the world has only a 28 percent chance of winning the World Cup even if it makes it through to the knockout stages.
So how do they explain the fact that Brazil has won five World Cups? Or four for Italy? Luck?
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This page contains a single entry by Christian published on October 7, 2009 10:00 PM.
Who will tell Maradona the Truth? was the previous entry in this blog.
What's the similarity between soccer players and a bunch of meerkats? is the next entry in this blog.
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Given that Brazil have won 5 times in 18 appearances (27.7% chance) and Italy have won 4 times in 16 appearances (25% chance) and you assume that they have been consistently among the top teams in that time, that seems fair enough.